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Central Asia venture, 2026: the numbers and what they mean

Regional funding reached roughly $320M in 2025 and produced a first unicorn. The interesting part is how unevenly it is distributed.

By · Partner, Central Asia

RESEARCH $320 million, unevenly spread

Central Asian venture funding reached roughly $320 million in 2025. For a region of about 80 million people that is not a large number — it is roughly what a single late-stage round raises in the Bay Area — but the direction and the distribution are more informative than the total.

The headline figures

Kazakhstan took most of it. Venture investment there nearly tripled to $209 million, with artificial intelligence accounting for about half. That concentration is worth noting: it means the market is not broadly funded so much as it is funded in one category.

Uzbekistan is smaller and earlier. Startup funding reached $33.8 million — more than eleven times its 2022 level, from a very low base. It also has the larger population, and Tashkent ranked as Central Asia’s leading startup city for the first time in 2026.

The region produced its first unicorn. Higgsfield, a Kazakh AI company, reached a $1.3 billion valuation. One company does not make a market, but it does two useful things: it proves the path exists, and it gives international investors a reference point that is not a slide.

Three things the totals hide

Growth rates are misleading at this size. Uzbekistan growing elevenfold and Kazakhstan tripling sound comparable to a mature market’s best years. They are arithmetic on small bases. A single $20M round moves a national total by a fifth. Treat the direction as signal and the multiples as noise.

The AI concentration cuts both ways. Half of Kazakh venture money going into one category means capital is available if you are in it and thin if you are not. A fintech or a marketplace founder should not read the national figure as describing their own fundraising environment.

The stage gap is the real constraint. There is angel and pre-seed money in the region, and there is a growing amount of state-adjacent and institutional capital. What is thin is the Series A — the round where a company that has proven a domestic model needs enough capital to enter a second market. That round is usually raised abroad, which is why structure becomes the binding constraint well before capital does.

What that means for a founder here

The domestic market will fund your proof, not your scale. Both Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan have enough customers and enough early capital to establish that a product works. Neither yet has a dependable path from that point to a large round without international investors.

Plan the border crossing before you need to. If the Series A is going to come from outside the region, the company has to be legible to those investors — which is a structuring question with a cost curve that steepens fast (more on that here).

Use the fiscal instruments, but do not confuse them with a strategy. Astana Hub and IT Park Uzbekistan residency are genuinely good deals on tax and hiring (compared here). They reduce your burn. They do not create demand and they do not make you fundable.

What we will be watching in 2027

Whether the AI concentration in Kazakhstan broadens or stays narrow. Whether Uzbekistan’s growth survives contact with its first down cycle. Whether Higgsfield turns out to be a one-off or the first of several. And whether any meaningful Series A capital forms inside the region — which is the single change that would alter how a founder here should plan.

We will update this piece rather than write a second one.


Sources: Forbes on Central Asia’s 2025 funding; RISE Research, Startups and Venture Capital in Central Asia 2026, the report those figures originate from. Figures as published in September 2026. Interpretation is ours.